{"id":2926,"date":"2015-10-21T06:02:37","date_gmt":"2015-10-20T23:02:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/se.dotv.vn\/?p=2926"},"modified":"2017-04-01T06:03:21","modified_gmt":"2017-03-31T23:03:21","slug":"21-10-2015-growth-slowdown-and-the-middle-income-trap-in-asia-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/se.dotv.vn\/en\/21-10-2015-growth-slowdown-and-the-middle-income-trap-in-asia-2\/","title":{"rendered":"[21-10-2015] Growth slowdown and the Middle Income Trap in Asia"},"content":{"rendered":"
by Professor James Riedel<\/strong><\/p>\n 3:00 pm, Wednesday, 21-10-2015 T\u00f3m t\u1eaft ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 | Abstract<\/strong><\/p>\n In Vietnam, one often confronts the view that comparative advantage leads to a dead end, where prosperity is limited to the level of productivity of unskilled labor in labor-intensive manufacturing (Vietnam Competitiveness Report 2010).<\/p>\n The World Bank (2010, p.7) takes the same view: \u201cFor decades, many economies in Asia, Latin America and the Middle East have been stuck in this middle income trap, where countries are struggling to remain competitive as high volume, low-cost producers in the face of rising wage costs, but are yet unable to move up the value chain and break into fast-growing markets for knowledge and innovation-based products and services\u201d<\/p>\n More sophisticated versions of the same argument (Hausmann and Rodrik, 2003) appeal to market failures similar to those invoked to justify import-substitution industrialization in the 1960s, in particular learning and coordination externalities that inhibit spontaneous industrial development and movement up the ladder of comparative advantage.<\/p>\n All of these arguments lead to the same conclusion: without an activist industrial policy, progress into and beyond the middle-income range will be stymied\u2014lower middle-income countries will be stuck at the bottom rungs of the ladder of comparative advantage.<\/p>\n
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\n59C Nguyen Dinh Chieu, District 3<\/p>\n